Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Racing de Santander	Draw	Real Valladolid
37.2% ( 0.17)	27.96% ( -0.15)	34.84% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 47.88% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.88% (

0.56)

58.13% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.21% (

0.44)

78.79% (

-0.44)

Racing de Santander Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.95% (

0.38)

30.06% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.81% (

0.45)

66.19% (

-0.45)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.46% (

0.27)

31.54% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.07% (

0.31)

67.94% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Racing de Santander 37.2%

Real Valladolid 34.84%

Draw 27.96%

Racing de Santander	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.2%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.96%	0-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.84%