Segunda Division | Gameweek 14

Nov 5, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Santo Domingo

Alcorcon
3 - 1
Racing

Gonzalez (13'), Addai (49'), Castro (81')
Gonzalez (64'), Sousa (73'), Lopez (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Carlos Arana (85')
Fernandez (15')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Alcorcon and Racing de Santander.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alcorcon

All competitions

Segunda Division

Last Game: Navalcarnero 0-1 Alcorcon
Wednesday, November 1 at 11am in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Racing de Santander

All competitions

Segunda Division

Last Game: Zamora 2-2 Racing (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, November 1 at 4.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 0-1 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alcorcon would win this match.

Result
Alcorcon	Draw	Racing de Santander
39.64% ( 0.16)	29.29% ( -0.08)	31.07% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 43.43% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.72% (

0.22)

63.28% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.33% (

0.16)

82.67% (

-0.16)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.84% (

0.21)

31.16% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.5% (

0.24)

67.5% (

-0.24)

Racing de Santander Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.09% (

0.06)

36.91% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.3% (

0.06)

73.7% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Alcorcon 39.64%

Racing de Santander 31.06%

Draw 29.28%

Alcorcon	Draw	Racing de Santander
1-0 @ 13.41% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 39.64%	1-1 @ 13.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.28%	0-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 31.06%