Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 42.93%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 26.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.95%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.