Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 1-0 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.