Copa del Rey
-
Carlos Faya
31'
-
Alvaro Ruiz
90'+3'
-
Javi Lara
21'
-
Eric Gomez
81'
-
Jacobo Gonzalez
87'
Navalcarnero vs Alcorcon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Navalcarnero had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Navalcarnero win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Alcorcon in this match.
Result
Navalcarnero
19.06%
▲
(+0.54)
Draw
22.9%
▲
(+0.46)
Alcorcon
58.03%
▼
(-1.00)
Both Teams to Score:
50.48%
▼
(-0.50)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.4%
▼
(-1.15)
Under 2.5
48.59%
▲
(+1.14)
Over 3.5
29.28%
▼
(-1.05)
Under 3.5
70.71%
▲
(+1.05)
Over 4.5
14.18%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 4.5
85.82%
▲
(+0.72)
Navalcarnero Goals
Over 0.5
60.43%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
39.57%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
23.74%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
76.25%
▲
(+0.06)
Alcorcon Goals
Over 0.5
83.54%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 0.5
16.46%
▲
(+0.74)
Over 1.5
53.84%
▼
(-1.35)
Under 1.5
46.15%
▲
(+1.34)
Score analysis
Navalcarnero
19.06%
Draw
22.9%
Alcorcon
58.03%
Navalcarnero
1-0
@
6.04%
▲
(+0.27)
2-1 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 19.06%
2-1 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 19.06%
Draw
1-1
@
10.89%
▲
(+0.23)
0-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.9%
0-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.9%
Alcorcon
0-1
@
11.75%
▲
(+0.26)
0-2 @ 10.6% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.18)
1-3 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.18)
0-4 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.09)
1-4 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.15)
2-4 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.08)
0-5 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 58.03%
0-2 @ 10.6% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.18)
1-3 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.18)
0-4 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.09)
1-4 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.15)
2-4 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.08)
0-5 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 58.03%