Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 46.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Santander would win this match.