Copa del Rey | First Round

Nov 1, 2023 at 11am UK

Campo Municipal del Santa Eulalia del Rio

Pena Deportiva
1 - 5
Valladolid

Tovar (84')
Navarro (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Meseguer (17', 69', 71'), de la Hoz (50'), Quintana (78')
Quintana (24'), Cedric (26'), Garriel (59')

Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Pena Deportiva and Real Valladolid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pena Deportiva

Last Game: Pena Deportiva 1-4 Valladolid
Saturday, January 16 at 11am in Copa del Rey

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Eibar 5-1 Valladolid
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 69.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Pena Deportiva had a probability of 11.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.15%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Pena Deportiva win it was 1-0 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.

Result
Pena Deportiva	Draw	Real Valladolid
11.52% ( -0.06)	18.72% ( -0.06)	69.76% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 45.75% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.6% (

0.11)

45.4% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.27% (

0.11)

67.73% (

-0.11)

Pena Deportiva Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.89% (

-0.04)

48.11% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.69% (

-0.03)

83.31% (

0.03)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.16% (

0.07)

11.84% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.9% (

0.14)

37.1% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Pena Deportiva 11.52%

Real Valladolid 69.75%

Draw 18.72%

Pena Deportiva	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 11.52%	1-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 18.72%	0-2 @ 12.96% 0-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 9.22% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.75% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 4.92% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 69.75%