Elche
Segunda Division | Gameweek 17
Nov 26, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero

Elche
2 - 0
Amorebieta

Gaspar (84'), Morente (90+2')
Fernandez (68'), Fidel (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hernando (41'), Gaya (78')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Elche and Amorebieta.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Espanyol 2-0 Elche
Saturday, November 18 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Amorebieta

All competitions
Last Game: Amorebieta 2-0 Tenerife
Saturday, November 18 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 18.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.

Result
ElcheDrawAmorebieta
57.25% (0.59 0.59)24.33% (0.488 0.49)18.41% (-1.073 -1.07)
Both teams to score 45.27% (-3.084 -3.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45% (-3.195 -3.2)55% (3.2 3.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.73% (-2.704 -2.7)76.27% (2.71 2.71)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (-0.976 -0.98)19.09% (0.982 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31% (-1.647 -1.65)50.7% (1.653 1.65)
Amorebieta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.94% (-3.096 -3.1)44.06% (3.103 3.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.83% (-2.65 -2.65)80.17% (2.656 2.66)
Score Analysis
    Elche 57.24%
    Amorebieta 18.41%
    Draw 24.33%
ElcheDrawAmorebieta
1-0 @ 13.92% (1.25 1.25)
2-0 @ 11.53% (0.71 0.71)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-0 @ 6.37% (0.199 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.288 -0.29)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.319 -0.32)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 57.24%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.994 0.99)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.44 -0.44)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 6.89% (0.273 0.27)
1-2 @ 4.68% (-0.37 -0.37)
0-2 @ 2.82% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.224 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.226 -0.23)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 18.41%