Elche
Segunda Division | Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero

Elche
2 - 0
Zaragoza

Morente (61'), Plano (64')
Fernandez (55'), Morente (67'), Mourad (74'), Blanco (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lecoeuche (23'), Vallejo (76')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Elche and Real Zaragoza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Albacete 1-1 Elche
Saturday, November 4 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 0-0 Real Oviedo
Monday, November 6 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 27.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.

Result
ElcheDrawReal Zaragoza
43.49% (-0.126 -0.13)28.92% (0.38 0.38)27.59% (-0.255 -0.25)
Both teams to score 42.9% (-1.109 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.81% (-1.316 -1.32)63.18% (1.314 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.4% (-0.961 -0.96)82.6% (0.961 0.96)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (-0.706 -0.71)28.92% (0.706 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2% (-0.883 -0.88)64.8% (0.884 0.88)
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.36% (-0.952 -0.95)39.64% (0.95200000000001 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.68% (-0.892 -0.89)76.32% (0.892 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Elche 43.49%
    Real Zaragoza 27.58%
    Draw 28.92%
ElcheDrawReal Zaragoza
1-0 @ 14.22% (0.41 0.41)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.084 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 43.49%
1-1 @ 13.16% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 11.46% (0.55 0.55)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.92%
0-1 @ 10.6% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 27.58%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2020 9pm
Aug 13, 2020 9pm
Elche
0-0
Zaragoza
Josema (71'), Fidel (87'), Gonzalo (90+4')
de Jesus (30')
Kagawa (44')
Feb 15, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 28
Elche
1-2
Zaragoza
Milla (18')
Gil (72'), Escriche (85'), Cruz (90')
Soro (13'), Suarez (26')
Atienza (52'), Suarez (61')
Aug 30, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 3
Zaragoza
1-0
Elche
Suarez (87' pen.)
Nieto (19'), Igbekeme (25'), Suarez (77'), Guti (95')

Sanchez (32')
Mar 16, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Zaragoza
1-0
Elche
Linares (5')
Soro (7'), Aguirre (35'), Biel (37'), Delmas (59')

Gonzalo (13'), Gonzalez (33'), Manolin (84')