Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 27.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.