Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Europa FC had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Europa FC win it was 1-0 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.