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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 6, 2022 at 7pm UK
Sarpugerði

Vikingur
1 - 0
Europa

Bardason (51')
David Turi (10'), Bardason (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Vikingur Gota and Europa FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vikingur Gota

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Last Game: Vikingur 0-4 Torpedo
Thursday, August 2 at 7pm in Europa League Qualifying
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Europa FC

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Last Game: Kauno Zalgiris 2-0 Europa
Thursday, July 15 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vikingur Gota win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Europa FC had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vikingur Gota win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Europa FC win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vikingur Gota in this match.

Result
Vikingur GotaDrawEuropa FC
37.98% (-0.27 -0.27)25.22% (-0.23 -0.23)36.79% (0.501 0.5)
Both teams to score 56.96% (0.844 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.32% (1.074 1.07)46.68% (-1.072 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.05% (0.997 1)68.94% (-0.997 -1)
Vikingur Gota Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (0.343 0.34)24.2% (-0.343 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46% (0.484 0.48)58.54% (-0.483 -0.48)
Europa FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (0.77799999999999 0.78)24.85% (-0.776 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.55% (1.07 1.07)59.44% (-1.069 -1.07)
Score Analysis
    Vikingur Gota 37.98%
    Europa FC 36.79%
    Draw 25.21%
Vikingur GotaDrawEuropa FC
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.303 -0.3)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.99% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.86% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 37.98%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.01% (-0.276 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.115 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.37% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.83%
1-3 @ 3.84% (0.122 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.113 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.06 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.072 0.07)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.059 0.06)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 36.79%

How you voted: Vikingur vs Europa

Vikingur Gota
58.3%
Draw
8.3%
Europa FC
33.3%
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