Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.52%) and 2-1 (7.27%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (12.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Burgos	Draw	Real Zaragoza
37.7% ( 0.44)	30.38% ( 0.02)	31.92% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 40.87% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.53% (

-0.11)

66.47% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.09% (

-0.07)

84.91% (

0.07)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.96% (

0.23)

34.04% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.28% (

0.24)

70.72% (

-0.24)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.95% (

-0.4)

38.04% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.19% (

-0.39)

74.81% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Burgos 37.69%

Real Zaragoza 31.92%

Draw 30.37%

Burgos	Draw	Real Zaragoza
1-0 @ 13.95% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.69%	1-1 @ 13.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.37%	0-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.66% Total : 31.92%