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Celta Vigo logo
La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2021 at 8pm UK
Balaidos
Valencia logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Valencia

Aspas (11')
Beltran (9'), Aspas (12'), Nolito (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Duro (19'), Gomez (53')
Gomez (36'), Gaya (51')

Preview: Celta Vigo vs. Valencia - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Valencia will be looking to win in La Liga for the first time since the end of October when they make the trip to Balaidos on Sunday night to face Celta Vigo.

The visitors are currently 11th in the table, having picked up 19 points from their first 15 matches of the season, while Celta occupy 13th, three points behind their opponents this weekend.


Match preview

Celta Vigo head coach Eduardo Coudet pictured in May 2021© Reuters

Celta secured their spot in the second round of the Copa del Rey on Tuesday night courtesy of a 5-0 victory away to Ebro, which followed a 2-1 success at Alaves in La Liga last weekend.

Eduardo Coudet's side will actually bring a five-game unbeaten run into Sunday's clash, including draws against Barcelona and Villarreal in their last two home fixtures in Spain's top flight.

A record of four wins, four draws and seven defeats from 15 matches has seen Celta collect 16 points, which has left them in 13th spot in the table, four points behind eighth-placed Athletic Bilbao.

The Sky Blues were in impressive in Spain's top flight last season, claiming eighth position, and they will certainly believe that a top-half finish is achievable once again.

Celta suffered a 2-0 defeat to Valencia when the two teams last locked horns in February, but they ran out 2-1 winners over Los Che in the corresponding contest at Balaidos last term.

Valencia's Jose Gaya celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on October 17, 2021© Reuters

Valencia, meanwhile, also progressed in the Copa del Rey on Thursday, running out 3-0 winners over Utrillas to comfortably advance to the second round.

Los Che are on a four-game unbeaten run in Spain's top flight but have not actually been victorious since recording a 2-0 victory at home to Villarreal on October 30.

Indeed, since the success over the Yellow Submarine, Jose Bordalas's side have drawn three straight matches against Atletico Madrid, Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano.

A return of 19 points from 15 matches has left them in 11th position in the table, just four points behind seventh-placed Barcelona, and it will be fascinating to see what the team can achieve this term.

Valencia's off-the-field issues have been well-documented, and they finished 13th in La Liga last season, which proved to be their worst campaign since claiming 14th in 1987-88.

Celta Vigo La Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W

Celta Vigo form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W

Valencia La Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D

Valencia form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W



Team News

Valencia's Hugo Duro celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 19, 2021© Reuters

Celta will again be without the services of Thiago Galhardo due to a hamstring problem, but the home side are otherwise in excellent shape heading into this contest.

There are not expected to be any surprises in the home side's starting XI, so there is every chance that Coudet could name the same side that took to the field for the first whistle against Alaves.

Hugo Mallo is available once again and in contention to feature at right-back, but Kevin Vazquez should retain his spot, while Fran Beltran could again keep Renato Tapia out in midfield.

As for Valencia, Gabriel Paulista remains on the sidelines through injury, while the match is expected to come too soon for Thierry Correia, who is struggling to overcome a knock.

Los Che will also be without both Mouctar Diakhaby and Dimitri Foulquier with the bookings that the pair picked up during the draw with Rayo Vallecano last time out.

Hugo Guillamon is in line to drop from midfield to centre-back, while Foulquier's absence will open the door for Cristiano Piccini to start at right-back for the visitors.

Celta Vigo possible starting lineup:
Dituro; Vazquez, Aidoo, Araujo, Galan; Beltran; Mendez, Suarez, Nolito; Mina, Aspas

Valencia possible starting lineup:
Cillessen; Piccini, Guillamon, Alderete, Gaya; Soler, Wass, Racic, Costa; Guedes, Duro


SM words green background

We say: Celta Vigo 2-2 Valencia

There has not actually been a draw between these two sides in the league since September 2018, but we are predicting the spoils to be shared here. Both teams are capable of scoring goals, and it would not be a surprise to see an entertaining 2-2 draw on Sunday evening.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Valencia

Celta Vigo
51.9%
Draw
29.1%
Valencia
19.0%
79
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Villarreal157532725226
6Real Sociedad167361611524
7Osasuna166642225-324
8Mallorca177371620-424
9GironaGirona166462223-122
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla165471723-619
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Valencia142481322-910
20Real ValladolidValladolid1623111134-239


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