Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 18.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.