Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 53.61% ( | 24.99% ( | 21.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.03% ( | 53.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.59% ( | 75.41% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.89% ( | 20.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.64% ( | 52.36% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.83% ( | 40.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.19% | 76.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% 2-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 5.56% ( 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.67% Total : 53.61% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 1-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.31% Total : 21.4% |