Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda
Real Sociedad logo

Malaga
0 - 1
Real Sociedad


Juanpe (48'), Diarra (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Galilea (49' og.)
Munoz (62'), Fernandez (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa del Rey clash between Malaga and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Malaga 1-0 Eldense
Wednesday, December 6 at 4pm in Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Alaves
Tuesday, January 2 at 6.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match.

Result
MalagaDrawReal Sociedad
34.26% (-0.215 -0.22)28.92% (-0.137 -0.14)36.82% (0.353 0.35)
Both teams to score 45.03% (0.367 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.39% (0.45500000000001 0.46)61.61% (-0.453 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.55% (0.334 0.33)81.45% (-0.333 -0.33)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (0.096000000000004 0.1)33.73% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (0.102 0.1)70.38% (-0.101 -0.1)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (0.458 0.46)32.05% (-0.457 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (0.517 0.52)68.52% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Malaga 34.25%
    Real Sociedad 36.82%
    Draw 28.91%
MalagaDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 34.25%
1-1 @ 13.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.8% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.91%
0-1 @ 12.3% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 7% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.66% (0.055 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 36.82%

How you voted: Malaga vs Real Sociedad

Malaga
14.3%
Draw
8.6%
Real Sociedad
77.1%
35
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2018 3.15pm
Malaga
2-0
Real Sociedad
Adrian (11'), En-Nesyri (35')
Lestienne (26'), Iturra (30'), Keko (64'), Adrian (68')

Canales (43')
Dec 10, 2017 11am
Real Sociedad
0-2
Malaga

Zurutuza (36')
Baston (23' pen.), Castro (58')
Castro (9')
May 14, 2017 7pm
Real Sociedad
2-2
Malaga
Prieto (31'), Orgilles Jon (86')
Navas (53')
Hernandez (45'), Recio (76')
Torres (86'), Santos (89')
Jan 16, 2017 7.45pm
Malaga
0-2
Real Sociedad
Martinez (50'), Juanmi (62')
Granero (55'), Illarramendi (70')
Feb 27, 2016 9.05pm
Real Sociedad
1-1
Malaga
Agirretxe (81')
Martinez (19'), Berchiche (60'), Reyes (74'), Rulli (78')
Cop (56')
Recio (15'), Ricca (58'), Charles (64'), Horta (70'), Weligton (80')