Copa del Rey
Jan 7, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Juanpe 48' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diarra 51' yellowcard
  • goal Einar Galilea 49' (OG)
  • yellowcard Aihen Munoz 62'
  • yellowcard Carlos Fernandez 63'

Malaga vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match.

Result

Malaga 34.26% (-0.22)
Draw 28.92% (-0.14)
Real Sociedad 36.82% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.03% (+0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.39% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 61.61% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 18.55% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 81.45% (-0.34)
Over 4.5 7.52% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 92.48% (-0.19)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 66.27% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 33.73% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 29.61% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 70.38% (-0.11)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 67.95% (+0.46)
Under 0.5 32.05% (-0.46)
Over 1.5 31.48% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 68.52% (-0.52)

Score analysis

Malaga 34.25%
Draw 28.91%
Real Sociedad 36.82%
Malaga
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 7.27% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.5% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 34.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.36% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 10.8% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.13% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.91%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 12.3% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.61% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 7% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.89% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.66% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.57% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 36.82%

Head to Head

La Liga
Apr 22, 2018 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)
  • Adrian 11' goal
  • Maxime Lestienne 26' yellowcard
  • Manuel Iturra 30' yellowcard
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 35' goal
  • Keko 64' yellowcard
  • Adrian 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sergio Canales 43'
La Liga
Dec 10, 2017 11.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Anoeta (Donostia-San Sebastián)
  • David Zurutuza 36' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chory Castro 9'
  • goal Borja Baston 23'
  • goal Chory Castro 58'
La Liga
May 14, 2017 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Xabi Prieto 31' goal
  • Raul Navas 53' yellowcard
  • Bautista Orgilles Jon 86' goal
  • goal Luis Hernandez 45'
  • goal Recio 76'
  • yellowcard Miguel Torres 86'
  • yellowcard Michael Santos 89'
La Liga
Jan 16, 2017 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Inigo Martinez 50'
  • yellowcard Esteban Granero 55'
  • goal Juanmi 62'
  • yellowcard Asier Illarramendi 70'
La Liga
Feb 27, 2016 9.05pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Inigo Martinez 19' yellowcard
  • Yuri Berchiche 60' yellowcard
  • Diego Reyes 74' yellowcard
  • Geronimo Rulli 78' yellowcard
  • Imanol Agirretxe 81' goal
  • yellowcard Recio 15'
  • goal Duje Cop 56'
  • yellowcard Federico Ricca 58'
  • yellowcard Charles 64'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Horta 70'
  • yellowcard Weligton 80'
La Liga
Oct 3, 2015 9.05pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Charles Dias de Oliveira 4' goal
  • Charles Dias de Oliveira 7' goal
  • Fernando Tissone 34' yellowcard
  • Recio 39' yellowcard
  • Duje Cop 72' yellowcard
  • Fernando Tissone 72' redcard
  • Charles Dias de Oliveira 74' yellowcard
  • Charles Dias de Oliveira 89' goal
  • goal Imanol Agirretxe 14'
  • yellowcard Gorka Elustondo 45'
  • yellowcard Carlos Vela 55'