Segunda Division | Gameweek 39
May 7, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio El Toralín

Ponferradina
2 - 0
Malaga

de Souza (76', 86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Malaga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ponferradina

All competitions
Last Game: Real Oviedo 3-2 Ponferradina
Sunday, April 30 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Malaga

All competitions
Last Game: Malaga 0-0 Huesca
Monday, May 1 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
PonferradinaDrawMalaga
30.35% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)29.58% (0.139 0.14)40.07% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 42.46% (-0.368 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.66% (-0.445 -0.45)64.34% (0.445 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.57% (-0.317 -0.32)83.43% (0.31700000000001 0.32)
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.95% (-0.269 -0.27)38.05% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18% (-0.26 -0.26)74.82% (0.262 0.26)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)31.45% (0.295 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.17% (-0.343 -0.34)67.83% (0.345 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Ponferradina 30.35%
    Malaga 40.07%
    Draw 29.57%
PonferradinaDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 11.56% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.46% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.59% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 30.35%
1-1 @ 13.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.96% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.74% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.57%
0-1 @ 13.84% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 40.07%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 17
Malaga
1-0
Ponferradina
Moran (58' og.)

Medina (10')
Mar 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 31
Malaga
0-0
Ponferradina

Caro (64')

Pujol (62'), Ojeda (77'), Rodriguez (89')
Sep 19, 2021 3pm
gameweek 6
Ponferradina
4-0
Malaga
Naranjo (12', 44'), De Souza (53' pen.), Medina (83')
Copete (69')

de la Fuente (34'), Escassi (77'), Brandon (78'), Calero (86')
Abaida (78')
Jan 23, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 22
Malaga
0-2
Ponferradina

Lomban (39'), Mejias (47'), Munoz (50'), Romero (73'), Jozabed (82')
Sielva (16'), Panadero (88')
Amo (19')
Nov 15, 2020 3.15pm
gameweek 12
Ponferradina
1-1
Malaga
Curro (74')
Sielva (18'), Amo (49'), Antonio Rios (68')
Rahmani (16')
Enriquez (38'), Matos (45'), Lomban (78')
Benkhemassa (90+1')