Segunda Division Gameweek 39
May 7, 2023 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio El Toralín
  • Yuri de Souza 76' goal
  • Yuri de Souza 86' goal

Ponferradina vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ponferradina

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 3.15pm
Real Oviedo 3 - 2 Ponferradina
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Yuri de Souza

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
May 1, 2023 5.30pm
Malaga 0 - 0 Huesca
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Ruben Castro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Ponferradina 30.35% (-0.03)
Draw 29.58% (+0.14)
Malaga 40.07% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.46% (-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 35.66% (-0.45)
Under 2.5 64.34% (+0.45)
Over 3.5 16.57% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 83.43% (+0.32)
Over 4.5 6.44% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 93.56% (+0.18)

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5 61.95% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 38.05% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 25.18% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 74.82% (+0.27)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 68.55% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 31.45% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 32.17% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 67.83% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Ponferradina 30.35%
Draw 29.57%
Malaga 40.07%
Ponferradina
1-0 @ 11.56% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 6.46% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.59% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.2% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 30.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.37% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.96% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 3.74% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.57%
Malaga
0-1 @ 13.84% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 8.01% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 40.07%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 17
Nov 26, 2022 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Erik Moran 58' goal
Segunda Division Gameweek 31
Mar 12, 2022 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andres Caro 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricard Pujol 62'
  • yellowcard Dani Ojeda 77'
  • yellowcard Ivan Rodriguez 89'
Segunda Division Gameweek 6
Sep 19, 2021 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jose Naranjo 12' goal
  • Jose Naranjo 44' goal
  • Yuri de Souza 53' goal
  • Copete 69' yellowcard
  • Agus Medina 83' goal
  • yellowcard Paulino de la Fuente 34'
  • yellowcard Alberto Escassi 77'
  • redcard Haitam Abaida 78'
  • yellowcard Brandon 78'
  • yellowcard Ivan Calero 86'
Segunda Division Gameweek 22
Jan 23, 2021 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • David Lomban 39' yellowcard
  • Josua Mejias 47' yellowcard
  • Luis Munoz 50' yellowcard
  • Cristo Romero 73' yellowcard
  • Jozabed 82' yellowcard
  • goal Oscar Sielva 16'
  • yellowcard Jose Amo 19'
  • goal Gaspar Panadero 88'
Segunda Division Gameweek 12
Nov 15, 2020 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Oscar Sielva 18' yellowcard
  • Jose Amo 49' yellowcard
  • Jose Antonio Rios 68' yellowcard
  • Curro 74' goal
  • goal Yanis Rahmani 16'
  • yellowcard Ramon Enriquez 38'
  • yellowcard Jose Matos 45'
  • yellowcard David Lomban 78'
  • redcard Mohamed Benkhemassa 90'+1'
Segunda Division Gameweek 23
Jan 14, 2020 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)
  • Antonin 2' goal
  • Carlos Santos 22' yellowcard
  • Juanpi 64' yellowcard
  • Munir 76' yellowcard
  • Dani Pacheco 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Larrea 18'
  • yellowcard Pablo Trigueros 49'
  • yellowcard Nacho Gil 84'