Copa del Rey
Dec 6, 2023 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • David Larrubia Romano 2' yellowcard
  • Juanpe 41' goal
  • Izan Merino Rodriguez 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eddie Salcedo 45'
  • yellowcard Joel Jorquera 90'+4'

Malaga vs Eldense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions

Eldense

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 14.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.66%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.

Result

Malaga 61.15% (-0.03)
Draw 24.36% (+0.01)
Eldense 14.49% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.07% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.51% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 60.49% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 19.39% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 80.61% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 7.99% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 92.01% (-0.01)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 80.29%
Under 0.5 19.71% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 48.27% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 51.73% (+0.01)

Eldense Goals

Over 0.5 47.42% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 52.58% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 13.62% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 86.38% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Malaga 61.14%
Draw 24.35%
Eldense 14.49%
Malaga
1-0 @ 16.83% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 13.66% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.4% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 61.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.36% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 24.35%
Eldense
0-1 @ 6.66% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.48% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 14.49%