Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 6, 2023 at 4pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda
Eldense

Malaga
1 - 0
Eldense

Juanpe (41')
Larrubia Romano (2'), Merino Rodriguez (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Salcedo (45'), Jorquera (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Malaga and Eldense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Barakaldo 0-0 Malaga (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, November 1 at 5pm in Copa del Rey

Eldense

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Eldense 0-3 Tenerife
Saturday, December 2 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 14.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.66%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.

Result
MalagaDrawEldense
61.15% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)24.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)14.49% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 38.07% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02)60.49% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.39% (0.015999999999998 0.02)80.61% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29%19.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)51.73% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Eldense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.42% (0.042000000000002 0.04)52.58% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.62% (0.027999999999999 0.03)86.38% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Malaga 61.14%
    Eldense 14.49%
    Draw 24.35%
MalagaDrawEldense
1-0 @ 16.83% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 13.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.4% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.53% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 61.14%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.82% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 6.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 3.48% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 14.49%

rhs 2.0


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