Copa del Rey
Nov 1, 2023 3.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Nuevo Estadio La Victoria
  • Juanma Segura 11' yellowcard
  • Brian Trivino 24' goal
  • Mario Martos 62' goal
  • Pablo de Castro 69' yellowcard
  • Javi Moyano 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Pablo de Castro 90'+4' redcard
  • goal Miguel Mari 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Florin Andone 61'
  • yellowcard Toni Abad 75'
  • goal Derick Poloni 87'
  • goal Juanto Ortuno 90'+1'

Real Jaen vs Eldense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Jaen

All competitions

Eldense

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Real Jaen had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Real Jaen win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eldense would win this match.

Result

Real Jaen 26.64% (+0.11)
Draw 26.13% (-0.03)
Eldense 47.22% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.86% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.02% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 53.98% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 24.57% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 75.43% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 11.09% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 88.91% (-0.10)

Real Jaen Goals

Over 0.5 64.63% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 35.36% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 27.87% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 72.12% (-0.20)

Eldense Goals

Over 0.5 77.14% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 22.85% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 43.41% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 56.59% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Real Jaen 26.64%
Draw 26.13%
Eldense 47.22%
Real Jaen
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.45% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.37% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.23% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.65% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.51% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 26.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.08% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.76% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.13%
Eldense
0-1 @ 11.92% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 9.15% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.8% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.33% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 47.22%