Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 69.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Barakaldo had a probability of 10.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.36%) and 0-3 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Barakaldo win it was 1-0 (4.65%).