Copa del Rey | First Round

Nov 1, 2023 at 5pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre

Barakaldo
0 - 0
Malaga

O. (20'), Gaztanaga (87'), Gaztanaga Arrospide (88'), Salado (117')

FT
(aet)

Rodriguez (3'), Murillo (61'), Abaida (62')

Malaga win 4-2 on penalties

Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Barakaldo and Malaga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barakaldo

Last Game: Barakaldo 0-0 Villarrubia (5-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 18 at 7.15pm in Copa del Rey

Malaga

All competitions

Last Game: Malaga 1-1 UD Ibiza
Saturday, May 27 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 69.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Barakaldo had a probability of 10.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.36%) and 0-3 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Barakaldo win it was 1-0 (4.65%).

Result
Barakaldo	Draw	Malaga
10.92% ( -0.22)	19.87% ( -0.07)	69.2% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 40.41% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.41% (

-0.23)

51.58% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.62% (

-0.2)

73.37% (

0.2)

Barakaldo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.9% (

-0.55)

53.09% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.29% (

-0.35)

86.71% (

0.35)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.15% (

0.02)

13.84% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.78% (

0.04)

41.22% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Barakaldo 10.93%

Malaga 69.19%

Draw 19.87%

Barakaldo	Draw	Malaga
1-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.89% Total : 10.93%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.87%	0-1 @ 14.53% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 14.36% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 9.47% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 4.68% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.23% Total : 69.19%