La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Jan 13, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 1
Real Sociedad

Berenguer (30', 42')
Gomez (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Oyarzabal (88')
Barrenetxea (61'), Merino (90'), Elustondo (90+3'), Le Normand (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Eibar 0-3 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Malaga 0-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, January 7 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Sociedad
39.5% ( 0.29)	27.28% ( -0.06)	33.21% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 49.66% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.22% (

0.19)

55.78% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.09% (

0.16)

76.91% (

-0.16)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.42% (

0.26)

27.58% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.9% (

0.33)

63.1% (

-0.33)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57% (

-0.06)

31.43% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19% (

-0.07)

67.81% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 39.5%

Real Sociedad 33.21%

Draw 27.28%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.5%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.28%	0-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 33.21%