Copa del Rey | Round of 32

Jan 7, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Ipurua

Eibar
0 - 3
Athletic Bilbao

Berrocal (59')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Villalibre (17', 40'), Muniain (33')
Vivian (4'), Sancet (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa del Rey clash between Eibar and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eibar

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Eibar 1-1 Sporting Gijon
Wednesday, December 20 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Sevilla 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, January 4 at 6.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Eibar	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
37.16% ( 0.21)	27.87% ( -0.1)	34.97% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 48.14% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.19% (

0.36)

57.81% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.46% (

0.28)

78.54% (

-0.28)

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.07% (

0.31)

29.93% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.97% (

0.37)

66.03% (

-0.37)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.7% (

0.11)

31.3% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.35% (

0.13)

67.65% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Eibar 37.15%

Athletic Bilbao 34.97%

Draw 27.87%

Eibar	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.15%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.87%	0-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 34.97%