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Eibar logo
Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 7, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Ipurua
Athletic Bilbao logo

Eibar
0 - 3
Athletic Bilbao


Berrocal (59')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Villalibre (17', 40'), Muniain (33')
Vivian (4'), Sancet (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa del Rey clash between Eibar and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eibar 1-1 Sporting Gijon
Wednesday, December 20 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division

We said: Eibar 0-2 Athletic Bilbao

Eibar are proving to be promotion contenders in the second tier, but Athletic should have enough quality in their squad to get the job done on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
EibarDrawAthletic Bilbao
37.16% (0.214 0.21) 27.87% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 34.97% (-0.115 -0.12)
Both teams to score 48.14% (0.287 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.19% (0.35899999999999 0.36)57.81% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.46% (0.282 0.28)78.54% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)
Eibar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (0.309 0.31)29.93% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.97% (0.371 0.37)66.03% (-0.369 -0.37)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.7% (0.10799999999999 0.11)31.3% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.35% (0.125 0.13)67.65% (-0.12400000000001 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Eibar 37.15%
    Athletic Bilbao 34.97%
    Draw 27.87%
EibarDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.15%
1-1 @ 13.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.37% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.87%
0-1 @ 10.88% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.32% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.97%

How you voted: Eibar vs Athletic Bilbao

Eibar
14.6%
Draw
9.8%
Athletic Bilbao
75.6%
41
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 28
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Eibar
Berchiche (9')
Martinez (56')
Kike (17')
Pozo (74')
Sep 27, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 3
Eibar
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Kike (48')
Diop (90+10')
Lopez (40', 87')
Jun 17, 2020 6.30pm
Dec 14, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 17
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Eibar
Garcia (55'), San Jose (90'), Capa (92')
Kike (86'), Dmitrovic (88'), Tejero (94')
Feb 23, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Eibar
Garcia (1')
Alvarez (13'), Etxebarria (55'), Martinez (83')

Diop (45'), Oliveira (58'), Charles (77'), Arbilla (87')
rhs 2.0
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