Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Eibar	Draw	Sporting Gijon
51.05% ( -0.13)	27.88% ( 0.12)	21.06% ( 0)

Both teams to score 40.01% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.05% (

-0.34)

63.95% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.85% (

-0.25)

83.15% (

0.24)

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54% (

-0.22)

25.46% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.71% (

-0.3)

60.29% (

0.29)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.67% (

-0.2)

46.33% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.02% (

-0.15)

81.97% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Eibar 51.04%

Sporting Gijon 21.06%

Draw 27.88%

Eibar	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 16.13% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.94% Total : 51.04%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.41% Total : 27.88%	0-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 21.06%