Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 22.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 1-0 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.