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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Real Sociedad logo

Celta Vigo
0 - 1
Real Sociedad


Rodriguez (15')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mendez (11')
Aramburu (30'), Merino (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.

Result
Celta VigoDrawReal Sociedad
32.8% (0.020000000000003 0.02)28.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)38.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.97% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.42% (0.036999999999999 0.04)61.58% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.57% (0.026 0.03)81.43% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.27% (0.031000000000006 0.03)34.73% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.54% (0.033999999999999 0.03)71.46% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9% (0.013999999999996 0.01)31.1% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)67.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 32.8%
    Real Sociedad 38.32%
    Draw 28.86%
Celta VigoDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 11.42%
2-1 @ 7.06% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.49% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 32.8%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 10.79% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.86%
0-1 @ 12.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 7.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 38.32%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad

Celta Vigo
9.0%
Draw
28.2%
Real Sociedad
62.8%
78
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 2
Real Sociedad
1-1
Celta Vigo
Barrenetxea (22')
Zubimendi (40'), Le Normand (69')
Mingueza (90+4')
Aspas (51')
Feb 18, 2023 1pm
Oct 16, 2022 1pm
Jan 8, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 20
Real Sociedad
1-0
Celta Vigo
Oyarzabal (13')
Portu (43'), Elustondo (64'), Merino (90+1')

Mina (30'), Aspas (72'), Galhardo (73')
Oct 28, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 11
Celta Vigo
0-2
Real Sociedad

Beltran (45')
Isak (55'), Elustondo (80')
rhs 2.0


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