Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 32.8% ( | 28.87% ( | 38.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.42% ( | 61.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.57% ( | 81.43% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.27% ( | 34.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.54% ( | 71.46% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.9% ( | 31.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.58% ( | 67.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% 2-1 @ 7.06% ( 2-0 @ 6.04% ( 3-1 @ 2.49% ( 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 3-2 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 32.8% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.79% ( 2-2 @ 4.12% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.86% | 0-1 @ 12.61% ( 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0-2 @ 7.37% ( 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 38.32% |