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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 0-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 19.15% ( | 20.01% ( | 60.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.6% ( | 35.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.56% ( | 57.44% ( |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.26% ( | 31.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.83% ( | 68.17% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.69% ( | 11.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.04% ( | 35.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 5.15% ( 1-0 @ 4.12% ( 2-0 @ 2.36% ( 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 3-0 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 19.15% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0-0 @ 3.59% ( 3-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.01% | 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0-2 @ 8.53% ( 0-1 @ 7.83% ( 1-3 @ 7.11% ( 0-3 @ 6.2% ( 2-3 @ 4.08% ( 1-4 @ 3.87% ( 0-4 @ 3.38% ( 2-4 @ 2.22% ( 1-5 @ 1.69% ( 0-5 @ 1.47% ( 2-5 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.72% Total : 60.84% |