Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.