Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Niclas Fullkrug 6' goal
  • Donyell Malen 56' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 72' goal
  • Niclas Fullkrug 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Manuel Riemann 4'
  • goal Nico Schlotterbeck 45' (OG)
  • yellowcard Maximilian Wittek 59'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Paciencia 89'

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Bochum - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2024 2.30pm
FC Koln 0 - 4 Dortmund
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Donyell Malen

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2024 2.30pm
VfL Bochum 1 - 0 Stuttgart
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Kevin Stoger

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 72.84%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 11.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 72.84% (+0.61)
Draw 15.43% (-0.05)
VfL Bochum 11.73% (-0.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.12% (-1.92)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.27% (-1.44)
Under 2.5 28.73% (+1.44)
Over 3.5 50.35% (-1.79)
Under 3.5 49.65% (+1.79)
Over 4.5 31.06% (-1.67)
Under 4.5 68.94% (+1.67)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 93.16% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 6.84% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 74.81% (-0.60)
Under 1.5 25.19% (+0.59)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5 63.46% (-1.91)
Under 0.5 36.54% (+1.90)
Over 1.5 26.67% (-1.97)
Under 1.5 73.33% (+1.97)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 72.84%
Draw 15.43%
VfL Bochum 11.73%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.05% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 8.99% (+0.54)
3-1 @ 8.09% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.04% (+0.39)
1-0 @ 6.71% (+0.48)
4-1 @ 5.43% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 5.39% (+0.21)
3-2 @ 4.07% (-0.23)
5-1 @ 2.91% (-0.08)
5-0 @ 2.89% (+0.08)
4-2 @ 2.73% (-0.19)
5-2 @ 1.47% (-0.12)
6-1 @ 1.3% (-0.06)
6-0 @ 1.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 72.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.75% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 2.5% (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 15.43%
VfL Bochum
1-2 @ 3.4% (-0.11)
0-1 @ 2.52% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 1.27% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.10)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 11.73%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vonovia Ruhrstadion
  • Kevin Stoger 13' goal
  • Kevin Stoger 66' yellowcard
  • Matus Bero 71' yellowcard
  • goal Donyell Malen 56'
  • yellowcard Emre Can 75'
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 28, 2023 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Anthony Losilla 5' goal
  • goal Karim Adeyemi 7'
DFB-Pokal
Feb 8, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Vonovia Ruhrstadion
  • Kevin Stoger 64' goal
  • goal Emre Can 45'+1'
  • goal Marco Reus 70'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Youssoufa Moukoko 8' goal
  • Giovanni Reyna 12' goal
  • Youssoufa Moukoko 45'+2' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Erling Braut Haaland 18' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 24' yellowcard
  • Erling Braut Haaland 30' goal
  • Julian Brandt 54' yellowcard
  • Erling Braut Haaland 62' goal
  • Tom Rothe 89' yellowcard
  • Antonios Papadopoulos 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastian Polter 3'
  • goal Gerrit Holtmann 8'
  • yellowcard Anthony Losilla 31'
  • yellowcard Erhan Masovic 35'
  • goal Jurgen Locadia 81'
  • goal Milos Pantovic 85'
  • yellowcard Simon Zoller 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sebastian Polter 40' goal
  • yellowcard Nico Schulz 57'
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 58'
  • goal Julian Brandt 85'
  • yellowcard Dan-Axel Zagadou 90'+4'