La Liga
Gameweek
24
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frmilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fgirlog.png)
-
Vinicius Junior
6'
-
Jude Bellingham
35'
-
Jude Bellingham
54'
-
Rodrygo
61'
-
Ferland Mendy
76'
-
Juanpe
21'
-
Yan Couto
68'
Real Madrid vs Girona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F06%2Fjude-bellingham.JPG)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F04%2Fantonio-rudiger.jpg)
News
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F39%2Fvinicius-junior.JPG)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F06%2Frmagir.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F47%2Fdavid-alaba.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F05%2Fcarlo-ancelotti.JPG)
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F02%2Fvinicius-junior.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 61.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Girona had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 1-0 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Real Madrid
61.59%
▲
(+0.15)
Draw
19.64%
▼
(-0.06)
Girona
18.77%
▼
(-0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
61.21%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.79%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 2.5
34.21%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
43.9%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
56.1%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
25.36%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 4.5
74.64%
▼
(-0.10)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
89.25%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
10.75%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
65.26%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 1.5
34.74%
▼
(-0.15)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5
68.59%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
31.41%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
32.21%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
67.79%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Real Madrid
61.6%
Draw
19.64%
Girona
18.77%
Real Madrid
2-1
@
9.73%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.53% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 61.6%
2-0 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.53% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 61.6%
Draw
1-1
@
8.72%
▼
(-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 19.64%
2-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 19.64%
Girona
1-2
@
5.05%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 18.77%
0-1 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 18.77%
Head to Head
La Liga
Gameweek
8
-
Eric Garcia
64'
-
Cristhian Stuani
90'+5'
-
Joselu
17'
-
Joselu
17'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
21'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
21'
-
Jude Bellingham
71'
-
Kepa Arrizabalaga
84'
-
Nacho
90'+4'
-
Antonio Rudiger
90'+5'
La Liga
Gameweek
31
-
Valentin Castellanos
12'
-
Valentin Castellanos
24'
-
Valentin Castellanos
46'
-
Valentin Castellanos
62'
-
Vinicius Junior
34'
-
Lucas Vazquez
85'
La Liga
Gameweek
12
-
Vinicius Junior
70'
-
Cristhian Stuani
80'
La Liga
Gameweek
24
-
Casemiro
25'
-
Sergio Ramos
64'
-
Casemiro
88'
-
Sergio Ramos
90'
-
Anthony Lozano
48'
-
Cristhian Stuani
65'
-
Portu
75'
-
Pedro Alcala
86'
Copa del Rey
-
Cristhian Stuani
49'
-
Pedro Porro
71'
-
Anthony Lozano
72'
-
Karim Benzema
27'
-
Karim Benzema
43'
-
Dani Carvajal
65'
-
Marcos Llorente
76'
Copa del Rey
-
Lucas Vazquez
18'
-
Sergio Ramos
42'
-
Nacho
45'
-
Sergio Ramos
62'
-
Marcos Llorente
66'
-
Sergio Ramos
77'
-
Karim Benzema
80'
-
Anthony Lozano
7'
-
Pedro Alcala
36'
-
Alex Granell
66'
Form Data
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F04%2Feder-militao.jpg)
News