Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Girona had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 35.15% ( | 26.08% ( | 38.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.39% ( | 50.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.48% ( | 72.51% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% ( | 27.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.81% ( | 63.18% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( | 25.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.56% ( | 60.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 2-0 @ 5.84% ( 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 4-1 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.15% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0-2 @ 6.57% ( 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 38.77% |