La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Jan 28, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Balaidos

Celta Vigo
0 - 1
Girona

Jailson (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Portu (20')
Blind (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, January 23 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Mallorca 3-2 Girona
Wednesday, January 24 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Girona had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Girona
37.59% ( 0.7)	25.41% ( -0.16)	36.99% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 56.28% (

0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.44% (

0.7)

47.56% (

-0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.23% (

0.65)

69.76% (

-0.65)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.18% (

0.71)

24.82% (

-0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.6% (

0.98)

59.4% (

-0.98)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85% (

0.02)

25.14% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.14% (

0.04)

59.85% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 37.59%

Girona 36.99%

Draw 25.41%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.82% Total : 37.59%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.99%