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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 27.86% ( | 22.15% ( | 49.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.41% ( | 35.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.36% ( | 57.64% ( |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.16% ( | 24.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.57% ( | 59.43% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.41% ( | 14.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.33% ( | 42.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 1-0 @ 5.05% ( 2-0 @ 3.52% ( 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 4-2 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.86% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0-0 @ 3.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 1-3 @ 6% ( 0-3 @ 4.31% ( 2-3 @ 4.18% ( 1-4 @ 2.89% ( 0-4 @ 2.07% ( 2-4 @ 2.01% ( 1-5 @ 1.11% ( 3-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.45% Total : 49.99% |