Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
29.83% ( -2.02) | 24.51% ( 0.27) | 45.66% ( 1.75) |
Both teams to score 57.21% ( -2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.6% ( -2.15) | 45.4% ( 2.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.27% ( -2.09) | 67.73% ( 2.1) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.51% ( -2.38) | 28.49% ( 2.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.73% ( -3.09) | 64.27% ( 3.1) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.01% ( -0.12) | 19.99% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.83% ( -0.2) | 52.17% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.33) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.83% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.79) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.61) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 2% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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