Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.