Premier League Gameweek 24
Aston Villa
Feb 11, 2024 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Villa Park
Man Utd
  • Clement Lenglet 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Matty Cash 60' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 67' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 71' yellowcard
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 17'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 37'
  • yellowcard Kobbie Mainoo 45'+4'
  • goal Scott McTominay 86'

Aston Villa vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Feb 3, 2024 5.30pm
Sheff Utd 0 - 5 Aston Villa
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 4, 2024 2.00pm
Man Utd 3 - 0 West Ham
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Rasmus Hojlund

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.67%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa 42.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 23.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Manchester United 34.79% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.24% ▼ (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.9% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 37.1% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 3.5 40.7% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 59.3% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 22.71% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 77.29% ▲ (+0.11)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 81.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 18.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 50.89% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 49.11% ▲ (+0.06)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 78.48% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 21.52% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 45.42% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 54.58% ▲ (+0.14)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 42.04%
Draw 23.16%
Manchester United 34.79%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 42.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.23% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.16%
Manchester United
1-2 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 34.79%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 19
Man Utd
Dec 26, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Old Trafford
Aston Villa
  • Alejandro Garnacho 59' goal
  • Alejandro Garnacho 71' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 73' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Hojlund 82' goal
  • goal John McGinn 21'
  • goal Leander Dendoncker 26'
  • yellowcard Jacob Ramsey 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Diego Carlos 74'
  • yellowcard Ezri Konsa 87'
Premier League Gameweek 34
Man Utd
Apr 30, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Bruno Fernandes 39' goal
EFL Cup
Man Utd
Nov 10, 2022 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
Aston Villa
  • Anthony Martial 49' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 67' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 78' goal
  • Scott McTominay 90'+1' goal
  • goal Ollie Watkins 48'
  • goal Diogo Dalot 61' (OG)
Premier League Gameweek 15
Aston Villa
Nov 6, 2022 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Man Utd
  • Leon Bailey 7' goal
  • Lucas Digne 11' goal
  • Jacob Ramsey 49' goal
  • goal Jacob Ramsey 45' (OG)
Club Friendlies 1
Man Utd
Jul 23, 2022 10.45am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Old Trafford
Aston Villa
  • Jadon Sancho 25' goal
  • Matty Cash 42' goal
  • Tahith Chong 78' yellowcard
  • Eric Bailly 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Philippe Coutinho 13'
  • goal Leon Bailey 49'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 51'
  • goal Calum Chambers 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Aston Villa
Jan 15, 2022 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Man Utd
  • Lucas Digne 27' yellowcard
  • Jacob Ramsey 77' goal
  • Philippe Coutinho 81' goal
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 6'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Matic 31'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 46'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 67'

Form Data

Aston Villa 1 - 3 Chelsea
Sheff Utd 0 - 5 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 1 - 3 Newcastle
Chelsea 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Everton 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Aston Villa
Man Utd 3 - 0 West Ham
Wolves 3 - 4 Man Utd
Newport 2 - 4 Man Utd
Man Utd 2 - 2 Spurs
Wigan 0 - 2 Man Utd
Nott'm Forest 2 - 1 Man Utd

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