Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.