League One Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The DW Stadium
  • Josh Magennis 16' goal
  • Liam Morrison 36' goal
  • Sean Clare 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Liam Morrison 66' yellowcard
  • Liam Shaw 72' yellowcard
  • Kell Watts 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Edmondson 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Jack Robinson 47'
  • yellowcard Ben Barclay 54'
  • yellowcard Jon Mellish 60'
  • yellowcard Owen Moxon 82'
  • yellowcard Sean Maguire 90'+1'

Wigan Athletic vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
Wigan 0 - 1 Derby
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Stephen Humphrys

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
Fleetwood 1 - 1 Carlisle
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jordan Gibson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.

Result

Wigan Athletic 45.61% (+0.12)
Draw 25.61% (+0.02)
Carlisle United 28.77% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.95% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.32% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 50.68% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 27.42% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 72.58% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 12.92% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 87.07% (+0.09)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 77.81% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.19% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 44.4% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 55.6% (+0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 68.05% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 31.95% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 31.6% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 68.4% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Wigan Athletic 45.61%
Draw 25.6%
Carlisle United 28.77%
Wigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.67% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.17% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.03% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.6% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.03% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.52% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 45.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 7.09% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 25.6%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 8.09% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.62% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 28.77%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brunton Park
  • Jon Mellish 54' yellowcard
  • Owen Moxon 56' goal
  • Sean Maguire 67' yellowcard
  • Jack Armer 83' yellowcard
  • Sam Lavelle 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean Clare 19'
  • goal Charlie Wyke 34'
  • yellowcard Tom Pearce 58'