Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 27

Mar 2, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
2 - 3
Aston Villa

Chong (66'), Morris (72')
Burke (38')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Watkins (24', 38'), Digne (89')
Bailey (45+5'), Luiz (45'), Rogers (50'), Zaniolo (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Lucas Digne scores an 89th-minute winner as Aston Villa record a 3-2 victory over Luton Town in Saturday's Premier League clash at Kenilworth Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Luton 2-6 Man City
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 4-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 19.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 0-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Luton Town win it was 2-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Aston Villa
19.28% ( -0.05)	20.3% ( -0.18)	60.41% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 59.7% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.4% (

0.77)

36.6% (

-0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.25% (

0.83)

58.75% (

-0.84)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.68% (

0.41)

32.32% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.17% (

0.46)

68.82% (

-0.46)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.21% (

0.29)

11.79% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.01% (

0.63)

36.99% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 19.28%

Aston Villa 60.41%

Draw 20.3%

Luton Town	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 19.28%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.3%	1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 7.01% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 3.75% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 3.32% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.44% Total : 60.41%