Premier League Gameweek 27
Luton
Mar 2, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Reece Burke 38' yellowcard
  • Tahith Chong 66' goal
  • Carlton Morris 72' goal
  • goal Ollie Watkins 24'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 38'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 45'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 50'
  • goal Lucas Digne 89'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 90'+2'

Luton Town vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2024 7.30pm
Liverpool 4 - 1 Luton
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Elijah Adebayo

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
Aston Villa 4 - 2 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 19.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 0-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Luton Town win it was 2-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result

Luton Town 19.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 20.3% ▼ (-0.18)
Aston Villa 60.41% ▲ (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.7% ▲ (+0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.4% ▲ (+0.77)
Under 2.5 36.6% ▼ (-0.78)
Over 3.5 41.25% ▲ (+0.84)
Under 3.5 58.75% ▼ (-0.84)
Over 4.5 23.15% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 4.5 76.85% ▼ (-0.68)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.68% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 0.5 32.32% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 1.5 31.17% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 1.5 68.82% ▼ (-0.47)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 88.21% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 0.5 11.79% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 1.5 63.01% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 1.5 36.99% ▼ (-0.64)

Score analysis

Luton Town 19.28%
Draw 20.3%
Aston Villa 60.41%
Luton Town
2-1 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 19.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.3%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 9.84% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.13)
0-1 @ 8.15% ▼ (-0.22)
1-3 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.08)
0-4 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.07)
1-5 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.06)
0-5 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 60.41%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 10
Aston Villa
Oct 29, 2023 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
Luton
  • John McGinn 17' goal
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 28' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 49' goal
  • Matty Cash 51' yellowcard
  • Tom Lockyer 62' goal
  • Boubacar Kamara 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Issa Kabore 53'
  • yellowcard Alfie Doughty 75'
  • goal Emiliano Martinez 83' (OG)
EFL Cup
Luton
Aug 10, 2016 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Aston Villa
  • Jake Gray 35' goal
  • Cameron McGeehan 53' goal
  • Jores Okore 66' goal
  • Olly Lee 80' yellowcard
  • Danny Hylton 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Ayew 13'
  • yellowcard Ross McCormack 17'
  • yellowcard Jordan Ayew 43'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Luton
Jul 23, 2013 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • John Shaw 23' goal
  • Jake Howells 78' goal

Form Data

Luton 2 - 6 Man City
Liverpool 4 - 1 Luton
Luton 1 - 2 Man Utd
Luton 1 - 3 Sheff Utd
Newcastle 4 - 4 Luton
Luton 4 - 0 Brighton
Aston Villa 4 - 2 Nott'm Forest
Fulham 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 1 - 2 Man Utd
Aston Villa 1 - 3 Chelsea
Sheff Utd 0 - 5 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 1 - 3 Newcastle