Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 27

Mar 2, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
2 - 3
Aston Villa

Chong (66'), Morris (72')
Burke (38')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Watkins (24', 38'), Digne (89')
Bailey (45+5'), Luiz (45'), Rogers (50'), Zaniolo (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Lucas Digne scores an 89th-minute winner as Aston Villa record a 3-2 victory over Luton Town in Saturday's Premier League clash at Kenilworth Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Luton 2-6 Man City
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 4-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 19.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 0-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Luton Town win it was 2-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Aston Villa
19.28% ( -0.05)	20.3% ( -0.18)	60.41% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 59.7% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.4% (

0.77)

36.6% (

-0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.25% (

0.83)

58.75% (

-0.84)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.68% (

0.41)

32.32% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.17% (

0.46)

68.82% (

-0.46)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.21% (

0.29)

11.79% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.01% (

0.63)

36.99% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 19.28%

Aston Villa 60.41%

Draw 20.3%

Luton Town	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 19.28%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.3%	1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 7.01% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 3.75% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 3.32% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.44% Total : 60.41%

How you voted: Luton vs Aston Villa

Luton Town

13.1%

Draw

13.1%

Aston Villa

73.7%

Head to Head

Oct 29, 2023 2pm

Gameweek 10

Aston Villa

3-1

Luton

McGinn (17'), Diaby (49'), Lockyer (62' og.)
Zaniolo (28'), Cash (51'), Kamara (71')

Martinez (83' og.)
Kabore (53'), Doughty (75')

> Match Report

Aug 10, 2016 7.45pm

Round One

Luton

3-1

Aston Villa

Gray (35'), McGeehan (53'), Okore (66' og.)
Lee (80'), Hylton (90')

Ayew (13')
McCormack (17'), Ayew (43')

Jul 23, 2013 7.45pm

Pre-season Friendlies

Luton

2-0

Aston Villa

Shaw (23'), Howells (78')

Form Guide

Aston Villa 4-2 Nott'm Forest

Fulham 1-2 Aston Villa

Aston Villa 1-2 Man Utd

Aston Villa 1-3 Chelsea

Sheff Utd 0-5 Aston Villa

Aston Villa 1-3 Newcastle

World Cup Qualifying - Europe

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - South America

Paraguay

Club Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - South America

Argentina

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Uruguayan Primera Division

COSAFA Cup

Gallagher Premiership

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table