/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flivlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flutlog.png)
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Virgil van Dijk
56'
-
Cody Gakpo
58'
-
Luis Diaz
71'
-
Joe Gomez
82'
-
Harvey Elliott
90'
-
Chiedozie Ogbene
12'
-
Alfie Doughty
18'
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Cauley Woodrow
42'
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Ross Barkley
77'
-
Issa Kabore
89'
Liverpool vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
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The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F07%2Flivjot.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 79.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 7.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.64%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result
Liverpool
79.42%
▲
(+0.09)
Draw
12.63%
▼
(-0.06)
Luton Town
7.95%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
54.78%
▲
(+0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
73.25%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 2.5
26.74%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 3.5
52.83%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 3.5
47.16%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 4.5
33.39%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 4.5
66.61%
▼
(-0.21)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5
94.74%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
5.26%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
79.26%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 1.5
20.74%
▼
(-0.14)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5
57.82%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
42.18%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
21.41%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
78.59%
▼
(-0.06)
Score analysis
Liverpool
79.42%
Draw
12.63%
Luton Town
7.95%
Liverpool
2-0
@
9.62%
▼
(-0.05)
3-0 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.02)
6-1 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.38%
Total : 79.42%
3-0 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.02)
6-1 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.38%
Total : 79.42%
Draw
1-1
@
5.64%
▼
(-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 12.63%
2-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 12.63%
Luton Town
1-2
@
2.43%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 7.95%
0-1 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 7.95%
Build-up
News