Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 26

Feb 21, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
4 - 1
Luton

van Dijk (56'), Gakpo (58'), Diaz (71'), Elliott (90')
Gomez (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ogbene (12')
Doughty (18'), Woodrow (42'), Barkley (77'), Kabore (89')

Reaction

Liverpool's Virgil van Dijk celebrates scoring their first goal on February 21, 2024

Virgil van Dijk breaks Sami Hyypia record in win over Luton Town

Liverpool captain Virgil van Dijk breaks a club goalscoring record set by Sami Hyppia in the Reds' 4-1 Premier League thrashing of Luton Town on Wednesday evening.

Feb 22, 16:52

Liverpool's Harvey Elliott celebrates scoring their fourth goal with James McConnell on February 21, 2024

Liverpool's Harvey Elliott breaks unique Premier League record in Luton Town win

Liverpool playmaker Harvey Elliott breaks a unique Premier League record after helping the Reds claim a 4-1 comeback victory over Luton Town at Anfield on Wednesday.

Feb 21, 23:12

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brentford 1-4 Liverpool
Saturday, February 17 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Luton 1-2 Man Utd
Sunday, February 18 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 79.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 7.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.64%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Luton Town
79.42% ( 0.08)	12.63% ( -0.05)	7.95% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 54.78% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.25% (

0.17)

26.74% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.83% (

0.21)

47.16% (

-0.21)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.74% (

0.05)

5.26% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.26% (

0.14)

20.74% (

-0.14)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.82% (

0.06)

42.18% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.41% (

0.05)

78.59% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Liverpool 79.42%

Luton Town 7.95%

Draw 12.63%

Liverpool	Draw	Luton Town
2-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 8.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 5.38% Total : 79.42%	1-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 12.63%	1-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.57% Total : 7.95%