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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Liverpool logo

Arsenal
3 - 1
Liverpool

Saka (14'), Martinelli (67'), Trossard (90+2')
White (31'), Magalhaes (57'), Kiwior (69'), Havertz (90+5'), Rice (90+4'), Saliba (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Magalhaes (45+3' og.)
Gomez (25'), Konate (55'), Nunez (90')
Konate (88')

The Match

Match Report

Arsenal blow the Premier League title race wide open with a 3-1 win over 10-man Liverpool in a game of three defensive calamities.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Liverpool.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Liverpool.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Arsenal's injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash with title rivals Liverpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-2 Arsenal
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 Chelsea
Wednesday, January 31 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawLiverpool
51.29% (1.494 1.49) 21.71% (-0.169 -0.17) 27% (-1.33 -1.33)
Both teams to score 65.09% (-0.54600000000001 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.91% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)34.09% (0.227 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.03% (-0.26 -0.26)55.96% (0.256 0.26)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.36% (0.39400000000001 0.39)13.63% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.2% (0.785 0.79)40.8% (-0.79 -0.79)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (-0.98399999999999 -0.98)24.62% (0.979 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (-1.395 -1.4)59.13% (1.39 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 51.29%
    Liverpool 27%
    Draw 21.71%
ArsenalDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.114 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.174 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.266 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.165 0.17)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.239 0.24)
3-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.126 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.149 0.15)
4-2 @ 2.17% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.067 0.07)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 51.29%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.36% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-1 @ 4.7% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Liverpool

Arsenal
27.3%
Draw
15.3%
Liverpool
57.4%
652
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 4.30pm
Third Round
Arsenal
0-2
Liverpool

Saliba (65')
Kiwior (80' og.), Diaz (90+5')
Elliott (70'), Gravenberch (90'), Clark (90+1'), Alexander-Arnold (90+4')
Dec 23, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Liverpool
1-1
Arsenal
Salah (29')
Endo (45+3'), Salah (84')
Magalhaes (4')
Saka (38'), Havertz (45+4'), Rice (49'), Nketiah (86'), White (90+1')
Apr 9, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 30
Liverpool
2-2
Arsenal
Salah (42'), Firmino (87')
Martinelli (8'), Jesus (28')
Oct 9, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Arsenal
3-2
Liverpool
Martinelli (1'), Saka (45+5', 76' pen.)
Nunez (34'), Firmino (53')
Mar 16, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 27
Arsenal
0-2
Liverpool
Jota (54'), Firmino (62')
Firmino (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool76011321118
2Manchester CityMan City7520178917
3Arsenal7520156917
4Chelsea7421168814
5Aston Villa7421129314
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton73311310312
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle733187112
8Fulham7322108211
9Tottenham HotspurSpurs7313148610
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest724176110
11Brentford73131313010
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham72231011-18
13Bournemouth7223810-28
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd722358-38
15Leicester CityLeicester7133912-36
16Everton7124715-85
17Ipswich TownIpswich7043614-84
18Crystal Palace7034510-53
19Southampton7016415-111
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves7016921-121


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