Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2024 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Carlton Morris 14' goal
  • Cauley Woodrow 17' yellowcard
  • Andros Townsend 70' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Osho 87' yellowcard
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 1'
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 7'
  • yellowcard Luke Shaw 20'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 34'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 42'
  • yellowcard Kobbie Mainoo 75'
  • yellowcard Victor Lindelof 81'

Luton Town vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
Luton 1 - 3 Sheff Utd
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Elijah Adebayo

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2024 4.30pm
Aston Villa 1 - 2 Man Utd
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Rasmus Hojlund

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.84%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.

Result

Luton Town 27.73% (-0.29)
Draw 22.01% (+0.18)
Manchester United 50.26% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.63% (-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.02% (-1.10)
Under 2.5 34.98% (+1.10)
Over 3.5 43.04% (-1.23)
Under 3.5 56.96% (+1.23)
Over 4.5 24.63% (-1.04)
Under 4.5 75.37% (+1.04)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 75.4% (-0.75)
Under 0.5 24.6% (+0.75)
Over 1.5 40.9% (-1.06)
Under 1.5 59.1% (+1.06)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 85.72% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 14.28% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 57.93% (-0.70)
Under 1.5 42.07% (+0.70)

Score analysis

Luton Town 27.73%
Draw 22.01%
Manchester United 50.26%
Luton Town
2-1 @ 6.72% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 4.93% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 3.46% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 1.62% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 27.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.59% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 6.54% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 3.51% (+0.20)
3-3 @ 1.98% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.01%
Manchester United
1-2 @ 9.33% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 6.84% (+0.29)
0-2 @ 6.65% (+0.20)
1-3 @ 6.05% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.32% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 4.25% (-0.12)
1-4 @ 2.95% (-0.06)
0-4 @ 2.1% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 2.07% (-0.09)
1-5 @ 1.15% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 50.26%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 12
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Victor Lindelof 59' goal
  • Erik ten Hag 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Issa Kabore 74'
  • yellowcard Tom Lockyer 90'+3'
EFL Cup
Sep 22, 2020 8.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Peter Kioso 67' yellowcard
  • Danny Hylton 85' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Mata 44'
  • yellowcard Brandon Williams 57'
  • goal Marcus Rashford 88'
  • goal Mason Greenwood 90'+2'

Build-up

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