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Premier League | Gameweek 26
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Aston Villa
4 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Watkins (4'), Luiz (29', 39'), Bailey (61')
Moreno (57')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Niakhate (45+5'), Gibbs-White (48')
Murillo (15'), Felipe (45')

The Match

Match Report

A brace from Douglas Luiz in between goals from Ollie Watkins and Leon Bailey saw Aston Villa run out 4-2 winners against Nottingham Forest at Villa Park this afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw has a probability of 19.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it is 1-2 (4.94%).

Result
Aston VillaDrawNottingham Forest
62.04% (0.876 0.88) 19.9% (-0.229 -0.23) 18.05% (-0.647 -0.65)
Both teams to score 58.79% (-0.436 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)36.7% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.13% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)58.87% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (0.238 0.24)11.38% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.88% (0.511 0.51)36.11% (-0.512 -0.51)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.34% (-0.67400000000001 -0.67)33.65% (0.67400000000001 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.69% (-0.739 -0.74)70.3% (0.739 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 62.04%
    Nottingham Forest 18.05%
    Draw 19.9%
Aston VillaDrawNottingham Forest
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.04% (0.167 0.17)
1-0 @ 8.32% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.14% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 6.55% (0.182 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.88% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.56% (0.132 0.13)
4-2 @ 2.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.048 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.55% (0.071 0.07)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 62.04%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.9%
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-1 @ 4.17% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.27% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 18.05%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Nott'm Forest

Aston Villa
78.7%
Draw
11.9%
Nottingham Forest
9.5%
253
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Nott'm Forest
2-0
Aston Villa
Aina (5'), Mangala (47')
Danilo (88')

Kamara (64')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Oct 10, 2022 8pm
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Aston Villa
Colback (3')
Ansarifard (29'), Milosevic (61'), Colback (86')
McGinn (7', 15'), Hause (61')
Hause (28'), Taylor (65'), Kodjia (96')
Nov 28, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
5-5
Nott'm Forest
Abraham (11', 14', 36' pen., 71'), El Ghazi (75')
Bolasie (20'), Hutton (69'), El Ghazi (87')
Grabban (3', 82'), Carvalho (6'), Cash (22'), Lolley (51')
Yacob (65'), Darikwa (69'), Colback (78')
Figueiredo (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
2Arsenal32225575264971
3Liverpool32218372314171
4Aston Villa33196868491963
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham33139115258-648
9Chelsea31138106152947
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves32127134651-543
12Fulham33126154951-242
13Bournemouth32119124757-1042
14Crystal Palace3289153754-1733
15Brentford3388174758-1132
16Everton3298153248-1627
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3379174258-1626
18Luton TownLuton3367204670-2425
19Burnley3348213368-3520
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3237223084-5416


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