Bristol City
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Nottingham Forest logo

Bristol City
0 - 0
Nott'm Forest


Pring (20'), James (40'), Gardner-Hickman (90+1')
FT

Yates (30'), Dominguez (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Bristol City and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawNottingham Forest
45.92% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)24.11% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)29.96% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 58.67% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.48% (0.024999999999999 0.02)43.52% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.09% (0.025000000000006 0.03)65.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.88% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)19.12% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.25% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)50.75% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.077000000000012 0.08)27.46% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (0.097999999999999 0.1)62.95% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 45.92%
    Nottingham Forest 29.96%
    Draw 24.11%
Bristol CityDrawNottingham Forest
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.69% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 45.92%
1-1 @ 11.22%
2-2 @ 6% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.015 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.13% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 29.96%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Nott'm Forest

Bristol City
32.5%
Draw
18.5%
Nottingham Forest
49.0%
151
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Nott'm Forest
2-0
Bristol City
Johnson (38'), Garner (55')
Johnson (32')

Pring (9'), Scott (35'), Kalas (69'), Klose (90+4')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bristol City
1-2
Nott'm Forest
Scott (40')
Scott (66')
Mighten (90+1' pen.), Taylor (90+2')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Nott'm Forest
1-2
Bristol City
Freeman (35')
Weimann (12'), Wells (22')
Hunt (39'), Mawson (43')
Jul 1, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0


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