Championship

Championship | Gameweek 28

Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
1 - 1
Watford

Twine (25')
McCrorie (36')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dele-Bashiru (13' pen.)
Asprilla (14'), Andrews (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 West Ham
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: QPR 1-2 Watford
Sunday, January 14 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Watford
36.59% ( 0.01)	26.04% ( -0.01)	37.37% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.11% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.67% (

0.04)

50.33% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.73% (

0.04)

72.27% (

-0.04)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.34% (

0.02)

26.66% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.09% (

0.03)

61.91% (

-0.03)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.78% (

0.02)

26.21% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.69% (

0.03)

61.31% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 36.59%

Watford 37.37%

Draw 26.04%

Bristol City	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 36.59%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.37%