FA Cup
Jan 6, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Ismael Kone 38' yellowcard
  • Wesley Hoedt 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Mileta Rajovic 76' goal
  • Tom Dele-Bashiru 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Quigley 26'
  • yellowcard Paul Cook 27'
  • goal Joe Quigley 28'
  • yellowcard Oliver Banks 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Tom Naylor 52'
  • yellowcard Ryan Boot 81'

Watford vs Chesterfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Chesterfield

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 23.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result

Watford 54.07% (+0.06)
Draw 22.1% (+0.02)
Chesterfield 23.82% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.14% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.9% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 39.1% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 38.57% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 61.42% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 21% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 78.99% (+0.12)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 85.51% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 14.49% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 57.52% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 42.47% (+0.06)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5 70.33% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 29.66% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 34.29% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 65.7% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Watford 54.07%
Draw 22.09%
Chesterfield 23.82%
Watford
2-1 @ 9.75% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.3% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.02% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.16% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.49% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 54.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.08% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.3% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.09%
Chesterfield
1-2 @ 6.13% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.22% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 23.82%