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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Watford |
| 41.77% | 24.03% | 34.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.5% ( | 41.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.1% ( | 63.9% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.91% ( | 20.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.67% ( | 52.33% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.11% ( | 23.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.91% ( | 58.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Watford |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% 1-0 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.02% Total : 41.77% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-1 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.2% |