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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Watford logo

Plymouth
3 - 3
Watford

Azaz (20'), Whittaker (27'), Hardie (42')
Mumba (59'), Randell (86')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Kayembe (11'), Kone (38'), Andrews (57')
Livermore (43'), Healey (87'), Asprilla (88'), Martins (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, December 29 at 6pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Stoke
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawWatford
41.77%24.03%34.2% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 60.82% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.5% (0.0019999999999953 0)41.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.1% (0.00099999999999767 0)63.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91% (0.00099999999999056 0)20.09% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.67% (0.00099999999999767 0)52.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.91% (0.0020000000000024 0)58.09%
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 41.77%
    Watford 34.2%
    Draw 24.03%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawWatford
2-1 @ 8.85%
1-0 @ 7.7%
2-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 3.39%
3-0 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 41.77%
1-1 @ 11.02%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.8%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-1 @ 6.87%
0-2 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 34.2%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Watford

Plymouth Argyle
55.0%
Draw
25.0%
Watford
20.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Watford
0-0
Plymouth
Scarr (71'), Mumba (78')
Apr 10, 2010 3pm
Sep 15, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Watford

Timar (27'), Arnason (37'), McNamee (43')
Mar 3, 2009 3pm
Sep 16, 2008 3pm
Watford
1-2
Plymouth
O'Toole (83')
Smith (73')
Duguid (30'), Summerfield (72' pen.)
Paterson (55'), Doumbé (75')