National League | Gameweek 25

Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
4 - 1
Aldershot

Oldaker (6'), Colclough (65'), Grigg (74'), Dobra (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Stokes (4')
Mnoga (30'), Rowe (35')

Coverage of the National League clash between Chesterfield and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aldershot Town

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Aldershot 3-5 Eastleigh
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 15.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Aldershot Town
65.74% ( -0.06)	18.41% ( 0.02)	15.86% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 59.48% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.38% (

-0)

33.62% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.56% (

-0)

55.43% (

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.43% (

-0.02)

9.57% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.96% (

-0.04)

32.03% (

0.04)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.78% (

0.05)

34.22% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.08% (

0.05)

70.92% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 65.74%

Aldershot Town 15.86%

Draw 18.41%

Chesterfield	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.38% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 4.61% Total : 65.74%	1-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 18.41%	1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.51% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 15.86%