National League Gameweek 18
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Aggborough Stadium
  • Zak Brown 25' goal
  • Samson Robinson 39' yellowcard
  • Reiss McNally 64' yellowcard
  • Krystian Pearce 68' yellowcard
  • Reiss McNally 82' redcard
  • 82' yellowcard
  • goal Oliver Banks 21'
  • yellowcard Mike Jones 24'
  • yellowcard Miguel Freckleton 31'
  • goal Oliver Banks 67'
  • goal Will Grigg 90'+1'

Kidderminster Harriers vs Chesterfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Altrincham 1 - 1 Kidderminster
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Ashley Hemmings

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Chesterfield 4 - 0 York City
Goals scored
106
Top scorer
Will Grigg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result

Kidderminster Harriers 29.01% (-0.79)
Draw 27.18% (-0.07)
Chesterfield 43.81% (+0.85)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.37% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.33% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 56.67% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 22.37% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 77.63% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 9.73% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 90.27% (+0.05)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5 65.08% (-0.65)
Under 0.5 34.91% (+0.65)
Over 1.5 28.34% (-0.69)
Under 1.5 71.65% (+0.69)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5 74.31% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 25.68% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 39.4% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 60.6% (-0.54)

Score analysis

Kidderminster Harriers 29.01%
Draw 27.17%
Chesterfield 43.8%
Kidderminster Harriers
1-0 @ 9.44% (-0.14)
2-1 @ 6.75% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 2.37% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 29.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.97% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.17%
Chesterfield
0-1 @ 12.18% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 8.72% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 8.28% (+0.22)
1-3 @ 3.95% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 3.75% (+0.14)
2-3 @ 2.08% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (+0.05)
0-4 @ 1.28% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 43.8%