National League | Gameweek 18

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
1 - 3
Chesterfield

Brown (25')
Robinson (39'), McNally (64'), Pearce (68'), (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Banks (21', 67'), Grigg (90+1')
Jones (24'), Freckleton (31')

Coverage of the National League clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 1-1 Kidderminster
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 4-0 York City
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Chesterfield
29.01% ( -0.79)	27.18% ( -0.06)	43.81% ( 0.84)

Both teams to score 48.37% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.33% (

-0.09)

56.67% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.37% (

-0.07)

77.63% (

0.07)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.08% (

-0.65)

34.91% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.34% (

-0.69)

71.65% (

0.68)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.31% (

0.39)

25.68% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.4% (

0.53)

60.6% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

Kidderminster Harriers 29.01%

Chesterfield 43.8%

Draw 27.17%

Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Chesterfield
1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.14% Total : 29.01%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.17%	0-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.8%