National League | Gameweek 20

Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale
2 - 1
Aldershot

Keohane (42'), Mitchell (79')
Clayton (65')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Barham (37')

Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 3-2 Rochdale
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aldershot Town

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Aldershot 1-0 Kidderminster
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rochdale in this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Aldershot Town
50.38% ( 0.02)	22.35% ( -0)	27.27% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 62.94% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.97% (

-0.01)

37.02% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.79% (

-0.01)

59.21% (

0.01)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.02% (

14.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.58% (

43.41% (

-0.01)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02% (

-0.02)

25.97% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.01% (

-0.02)

60.98% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 50.38%

Aldershot Town 27.27%

Draw 22.35%

Rochdale	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.03% 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 4.14% Total : 50.38%	1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.35%	1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.27%