National League | Gameweek 17

Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale
2 - 2
Gateshead

Uchegbulam (16'), Henderson (26')
Keohane (64'), Oduroh (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Francis (54'), Richardson (67')
Francis (63'), Dinanga (68'), Lofthouse (73')
Olley (78')

Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Gateshead.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 3-4 Oldham
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gateshead

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 0-2 Altrincham
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.8%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Gateshead
34.61% ( 2.27)	23.26% ( 0.25)	42.12% ( -2.53)

Both teams to score 63.83% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.38% (

-0.49)

37.62% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.14% (

-0.53)

59.85% (

0.53)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.14% (

1.01)

21.85% (

-1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.91% (

1.51)

55.09% (

-1.51)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.68% (

-1.23)

18.32% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.58% (

-2.12)

49.41% (

2.12)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 34.61%

Gateshead 42.12%

Draw 23.26%

Rochdale	Draw	Gateshead
2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.53% Total : 34.61%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.26%	1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.33) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.71% Total : 42.12%