Aldershot Town
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Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
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Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
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Yeovil Town
National League | Gameweek 12
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Court Place Farm
Gateshead

Oxford City
0 - 4
Gateshead


Fleet (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dinanga (25', 57'), Olley (72'), McBride (90+3')
Tinkler (31'), Wearne (74'), Booty (82')
Coverage of the National League clash between Oxford City and Gateshead.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions
Last Game: Oldham 4-0 Oxford City
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League

Gateshead

All competitions
Last Game: Gateshead 3-0 Maidenhead
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
Oxford CityDrawGateshead
21.26% (-0.144 -0.14)23.39% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)55.35% (0.197 0.2)
Both teams to score 52.39% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.22% (0.042999999999999 0.04)47.78% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.03% (0.041 0.04)69.97% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.21% (-0.117 -0.12)36.79% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.42% (-0.119 -0.12)73.58% (0.12100000000001 0.12)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.89% (0.087999999999994 0.09)17.11% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.68% (0.151 0.15)47.32% (-0.15 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 21.26%
    Gateshead 55.34%
    Draw 23.39%
Oxford CityDrawGateshead
1-0 @ 6.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 5.56% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 21.26%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.39%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.81% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.77% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.77% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.55% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.55% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 55.34%