National League Gameweek 12
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Court Place Farm
  • Reece Fleet 86' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Dinanga 25'
  • yellowcard Robbie Tinkler 31'
  • goal Marcus Dinanga 57'
  • goal Greg Olley 72'
  • yellowcard Stephen Wearne 74'
  • yellowcard Regan Booty 82'
  • goal Connor McBride 90'+3'

Oxford City vs Gateshead - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
Oldham 4 - 0 Oxford City
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Josh Parker

Gateshead

All competitions
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
Gateshead 3 - 0 Maidenhead
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Marcus Dinanga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result

Oxford City 21.26% (-0.15)
Draw 23.39% (-0.06)
Gateshead 55.35% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.39% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.22% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 47.78% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 30.03% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 69.97% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 14.7% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 85.31% (-0.03)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5 63.21% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 36.79% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 26.42% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 73.58% (+0.13)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5 82.89% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 17.11% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 52.68% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 47.32% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Oxford City 21.26%
Draw 23.39%
Gateshead 55.34%
Oxford City
1-0 @ 6.3% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 5.56% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.15% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.85% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 21.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 23.39%
Gateshead
0-1 @ 11.11% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.81% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 9.81% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.77% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.77% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.89% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.55% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.55% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.27% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 55.34%