National League | Gameweek 12

Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Court Place Farm

Oxford City
0 - 4
Gateshead

Fleet (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dinanga (25', 57'), Olley (72'), McBride (90+3')
Tinkler (31'), Wearne (74'), Booty (82')

Coverage of the National League clash between Oxford City and Gateshead.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Oldham 4-0 Oxford City
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gateshead

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 3-0 Maidenhead
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	Gateshead
21.26% ( -0.14)	23.39% ( -0.05)	55.35% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 52.39% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.22% (

0.04)

47.78% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.03% (

0.04)

69.97% (

-0.04)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.21% (

-0.12)

36.79% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.42% (

-0.12)

73.58% (

0.12)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.89% (

0.09)

17.11% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.68% (

0.15)

47.32% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Oxford City 21.26%

Gateshead 55.34%

Draw 23.39%

Oxford City	Draw	Gateshead
1-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 21.26%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.39%	0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.77% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 3.81% Total : 55.34%